In recent years, due to the constant launch of new paper machines in China, coupled with the increase in environmental protection, the demand for waste paper has increased dramatically, leading to the upsurge of waste paper imports. From the third quarter of 2000 to the second quarter of 2001, most of the domestic waste paper was imported from the United States and Europe. Until the second quarter of 2001, Japanese waste paper entered the Chinese market one after another, but with geographical advantages and Low prices, the daily market share of waste in the domestic market continues to expand.
In the source countries of imported waste paper, the United States is still the leader, because of its high quality, stable supply, and complete sales network, which is welcomed by waste paper users in various countries. However, its price is high, and when the use of paper mills in its home country increases, supply shortages will occur. Therefore, domestic users start to purchase other channels, resulting in a significant change in the source of supply of imported waste paper. According to statistics from customs statistics, in recent years, the amount of domestic imported waste paper has increased from Japan to 60%.
In the past two years, Japan’s export of waste paper has increased rapidly. In response, the suppliers of the world’s major waste paper suppliers, the United States, are greatly dissatisfied. They believe that the rapid growth of Japanese waste paper exports has damaged global waste paper. Supply and demand balance.
Is the continuous increase in Japan's waste paper exports meeting the rapid growth in demand for waste paper in China? Let us analyze the recovery and shipment of waste paper in Japan: The recovery rate of waste paper in Japan has risen rapidly, from 52.1% in 1997 to 60.9% in 2001. How high is the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan in the future? Because of different calculation methods and different understandings of the comparison between countries, it is difficult to compare with other countries. However, according to the goals set by Japan itself and the speed of its recent growth, the recovery rate of waste paper should be further increased at the current level, and even they themselves find it very difficult.
According to the current waste paper recovery rate, it is estimated that by 2004, the export volume of recycled waste paper will increase by 200,000 tons. If the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan increases in the next two years, the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan is expected to reach 65% in 2004, as the recovery rate of waste paper increases by one percentage point and its export volume increases by 30,000-30,000 tons. The export volume will reach 2.65 million tons; it will reach 66%, and the export volume will be 3 million tons; even if it reaches 67%, the export volume will only reach 3.3 million tons. According to this kind of growth rate, it will certainly not be able to meet the needs of China's new growth. .
According to the development situation of the domestic paper industry, the demand for waste paper in China will continue to grow in the future, but the domestic waste paper recycling situation is still very unsatisfactory. Therefore, there is still a long time to rely on imports. However, the change in demand and price fluctuations in the international waste paper market have caused great pressure on domestic paper mills. China must have new countermeasures: First, develop new sources globally; second, increase domestic waste paper recycling. rate.
For the domestic waste paper, the issue that has always drawn people's attention is the quality of waste paper, because past paper pulp in the country is too much. However, in recent years, there have been new and large-scale paper machines in operation in China. Many of these paper machines use high proportions of imported pulp as raw materials, and the quality of paper and paperboard produced is excellent. At present, there should be a large amount of good paperboard and waste paper that can be recycled in China. Many of the waste paper cartons imported from China are produced domestically. Therefore, the idea that poor quality of domestic waste paper does not attach importance to recycling is outdated, and local waste paper recycling rates should be increased as soon as possible.
In the source countries of imported waste paper, the United States is still the leader, because of its high quality, stable supply, and complete sales network, which is welcomed by waste paper users in various countries. However, its price is high, and when the use of paper mills in its home country increases, supply shortages will occur. Therefore, domestic users start to purchase other channels, resulting in a significant change in the source of supply of imported waste paper. According to statistics from customs statistics, in recent years, the amount of domestic imported waste paper has increased from Japan to 60%.
In the past two years, Japan’s export of waste paper has increased rapidly. In response, the suppliers of the world’s major waste paper suppliers, the United States, are greatly dissatisfied. They believe that the rapid growth of Japanese waste paper exports has damaged global waste paper. Supply and demand balance.
Is the continuous increase in Japan's waste paper exports meeting the rapid growth in demand for waste paper in China? Let us analyze the recovery and shipment of waste paper in Japan: The recovery rate of waste paper in Japan has risen rapidly, from 52.1% in 1997 to 60.9% in 2001. How high is the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan in the future? Because of different calculation methods and different understandings of the comparison between countries, it is difficult to compare with other countries. However, according to the goals set by Japan itself and the speed of its recent growth, the recovery rate of waste paper should be further increased at the current level, and even they themselves find it very difficult.
According to the current waste paper recovery rate, it is estimated that by 2004, the export volume of recycled waste paper will increase by 200,000 tons. If the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan increases in the next two years, the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan is expected to reach 65% in 2004, as the recovery rate of waste paper increases by one percentage point and its export volume increases by 30,000-30,000 tons. The export volume will reach 2.65 million tons; it will reach 66%, and the export volume will be 3 million tons; even if it reaches 67%, the export volume will only reach 3.3 million tons. According to this kind of growth rate, it will certainly not be able to meet the needs of China's new growth. .
According to the development situation of the domestic paper industry, the demand for waste paper in China will continue to grow in the future, but the domestic waste paper recycling situation is still very unsatisfactory. Therefore, there is still a long time to rely on imports. However, the change in demand and price fluctuations in the international waste paper market have caused great pressure on domestic paper mills. China must have new countermeasures: First, develop new sources globally; second, increase domestic waste paper recycling. rate.
For the domestic waste paper, the issue that has always drawn people's attention is the quality of waste paper, because past paper pulp in the country is too much. However, in recent years, there have been new and large-scale paper machines in operation in China. Many of these paper machines use high proportions of imported pulp as raw materials, and the quality of paper and paperboard produced is excellent. At present, there should be a large amount of good paperboard and waste paper that can be recycled in China. Many of the waste paper cartons imported from China are produced domestically. Therefore, the idea that poor quality of domestic waste paper does not attach importance to recycling is outdated, and local waste paper recycling rates should be increased as soon as possible.
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